India’s GDP Growth: Despite global economic uncertainties, high US tariffs and international market turmoil, the Indian economy is growing at a fast pace. Rating agency India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has said in its latest estimate that India’s GDP may grow at the rate of 7.2% in the second quarter of the financial year 2025-26.
The fastest growth will be seen in the second quarter
The rating agency says India’s real gross domestic product (GDP), measured on the base year of 2011-12, will grow at the fastest pace in the last five quarters. The National Statistical Office (NSO) will release official GDP figures on November 28.
Main basis of growth – Private Consumption
Paras Jasrai, Chief Economist and Managing Director of India Ratings and Research, said that increase in private consumption is the main reason for GDP growth. “There has been improvement in the real income of both high and low income groups, which has increased demand.”
Contribution of infrastructure and service sector
According to the agency, the strong position of the infrastructure sector, increase in goods and services exports and strength of the services sector have also boosted the growth in the second quarter. Private consumption is estimated to grow by 8% in the second quarter of the financial year 2025-26. Whereas in the first quarter of last year it was 7% and in the second quarter it was 6.4%.
The agency says that the income tax cut by the government has played an important role in increasing consumption demand. However, if purchase decisions had not been postponed due to the rationalization of GST rates, there would have been an even sharper jump in consumption.
7.5% increase in investment demand
According to the statement, investment demand has also increased at the rate of 7.5% on an annual basis. Stable capital expenditure of the government is playing an important role in maintaining this growth.
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